Latest SUSA polls from FL,GA,NM and OH

FL

McCain (R) 51%
Obama (D) 45%

GA

McCain (R) 57%
Obama (D) 41%

NM

McCain (R) 44%
Obama (D) 52%

OH

McCain (R) 49%
Obama (D) 45%

This race is getting interesting. JM can afford to lose NM as long as he is able to hold CO and if we take PA its curtains. GOTV efforts required in PA. Start calling. we need to canvas hard.

FYI - The race is within 2-4pts in WA,MN,WI,OR,NH,MI - all traditionally democratic states.

Its tied in PA,VA - battleground states.

I'm proud to be a Floridian

Folks remember

We can lose in VA Colorado AND new mexico and Sto;; win the election if we win only PA or lose those states and still win if we win only win michigan and Nh..

remember michigan Pa Wiscon and NH In total have 52 electoral points that went to kerry.. Obama CANT afford to lose any of those states.. while mccain can afford to lose up to 16 electoral points..


In short, if we fight like were 2 points behind with pumas supporters on our side we have a VERY good chance of winning..

The polls will probably fluctuate until the Wall Street mess calms down. People are holding the Republicans responsible for everything going on. Someone must have seen this coming for a long time.

Admin wrote:Folks remember

We can lose in VA Colorado AND new mexico and Sto;; win the election if we win only PA or lose those states and still win if we win only win michigan and Nh..

..

Colorado is my biggest concern. I think we're OKay in OH, FL and VA looking at the RCP averages. The CO InAdv/PollPosition poll of likely voters came in +10 for 0bama today. If we don't carry CO we won't win. IMHO

This should definitely lift the spirits but please take it with a grain of salt.

American Research Group, Inc.



Illinois

Interview dates: September 13-16, 2008

Sample size: 600 likely voters

Margin of error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time

Question wording and responses:

If the general election were being held today between John McCain for president and Sarah Palin for vice president, the Republicans, and Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice president, the Democrats, for whom would you vote - McCain and Palin, Obama and Biden (names rotated), or someone else?

Illinois
McCain Obama Other Undecided

Likely voters 45% 51% 1% 4%

Democrats (40%) 2% 96% - 2%
Republicans (32%) 95% 3% - 2%
Independents (28%) 49% 41% 2% 8%

Men (45%) 47% 47% 1% 5%
Women (55%) 43% 54% - 3%

18 to 49 (59%) 41% 54% 1% 4%
50 and older (41%) 51% 46% - 3%


I agree the polls will fluctuate and might be skewed in BO's favor for the next 2-3 weeks. we need to get on with the final push.